Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will at least 1% of new car sales be flying cars by 2040??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 84.2% em 27 de outubro de 2026.

Como Will at least 1% of new car sales be flying cars by 2040? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Within any single country with a population of at least 10 million people.

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Não 84.2%

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binary

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Atualizado há 19 horas

Desatualizado

30/11/23, 17:51 UTC1/01/41, 05:59 UTC

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Resultado24hProbabilidade

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Within any single country with a population of at least 10 million people.

"Flying cars" are herein defined as vehicles which are legal to operate on the roads of the country, and which also can be operated as legal aircraft in that same country.
The two operations modes are not required to be covered by the same license.
No type certificate, production certificate, or equivalent is required (although they are expected and hoped for).
Fleet operators renting vehicles out to the public would qualify if the sales quantity is met.
An example of a "yes" resolution in the US would be a street-legal car which is also legal to fly under 14 CFR 23, 25, 27, 91, 103, or equivalent, and can be operated by anyone with a driver's license and appropriate flight certificate (or none, in the case of §103 and/or potential self-driving capability).