Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 76.5%
Previsores
23
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado24/11/25, 20:50 UTC31/12/29, 15:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if any of the next four Starliner flights carry crew.
- The market resolves NO if all four flights are uncrewed.
- Resolution will be determined by official NASA or Boeing announcements regarding crew assignments for each flight.
- The market resolves NO if Starliner is cancelled without flying four more times.
- The next Starliner flight is scheduled for no earlier than April 2026 as a cargo mission, pending additional tests and certification.