Will any Nuclear weapons be used by the US till 2027?
PolíticaGeopolíticaOne-OffSpaceRussia / Ukraine3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 94.7%
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24
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado1/03/26, 09:31 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if any nuclear weapon is detonated by the United States in combat or testing by December 31, 2026.
- This includes strategic warheads, tactical nuclear weapons, or any other nuclear explosive device deployed by U.S. military forces.
- Resolution will be determined by official U.S. government statements, credible news reporting from major international outlets, or public acknowledgment by the Department of Defense.
- The market resolves NO if no nuclear detonation occurs by the end of 2026.
- The United States remains the only country to have used nuclear weapons in combat, with the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki in World War II.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will any Nuclear weapons be used by the US till 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will any Nuclear weapons be used by the US till 2027? é resolvido?
- Will any Nuclear weapons be used by the US till 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will any Nuclear weapons be used by the US till 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria