Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 63%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado21/05/26, 13:36 UTC31/05/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Anthropic has a profitable quarter in 2027?
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KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
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PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Market will be resolved as YES if Anthropic reports a net profit after taking into account training costs in 2028.
- More precisely, if Anthropic releases a financial statement covering the 2028 fiscal year, and according to that statement their net profit after accounting for model training costs is positive.
- The market will be resolved as NO if Anthropic reports a net loss after accounting for model training costs in 2028 fiscal year.
- If they report a net loss in one or more quarters, resolution will be based on cumulative net profit over the course of all four quarters.
- If no official public financial report detailing Anthropic's profitability in 2028 is available by June 1, 2029, the market will be resolved as N/A. Update 2026-05-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Profitability means net profit after subtracting all usual expenses (operating expenses, interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization) and model training costs.
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- € 224,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 160,5 mil
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 344,9 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 mais resultados
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Anthropic be profitable in 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 63% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Anthropic be profitable in 2028? é resolvido?
- Will Anthropic be profitable in 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de maio de 2029.
- Como Will Anthropic be profitable in 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Market will be resolved as YES if Anthropic reports a net profit after taking into account training costs in 2028.