Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 71.3%
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23
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado17/04/24, 02:06 UTC2/01/75, 07:59 UTC
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This question will resolve to Yes if either a craft or a person accomplishes what could fairly be called a circumnavigation of another object in the Solar System before January 1st 2075.
- For example, if a person were to land on an asteroid and walk completely around it, that would resolve to Yes.
- If a rover were to do the same thing, that would also be Yes.
- If a balloon/plane/helicopter were to float or fly completely around a planet or moon with an atmosphere, that would also be Yes.
- Merely orbiting an object would not count.
- Ambiguous cases like a person walking around a small protuberance on an asteroid instead of the main body would also resolve to No.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 71% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075? é resolvido?
- Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2075.
- Como Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This question will resolve to Yes if either a craft or a person accomplishes what could fairly be called a circumnavigation of another object in the Solar System before January 1st 2075.