Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 92.2%
Previsores
34
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado7/04/23, 02:22 UTC1/01/00, 05:59 UTC
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This market resolves YES if AI wipes out all biological life on Earth before the year 2100.
- Presumably in that case the AI will have to be kind enough to posthumously resolve this market on our behalf, but in the meantime Manifold loans should give you some incentive to bet on this market.
- This market resolves NO if the AI stops short of wiping out all biological life on Earth.
- If there's still a single amoeba, extremophile, mite, lichen, protist, or tardigrade still clinging to life somwhere on January 1st in the year of our Lord 2100, this market resolves NO.
- Also if something other than AI wipes out all life on Earth--such as a super asteroid or a supernova or a black hole or a giant alien space laser (the aliens being non artificial intelligences)--this market resolves NO.
- To be clear, if I (or an heir with my Manifold password) is still alive on January 1st, 2100.
