Will a US president order the assassination of any of the following, and get away without criminal charges before 2029?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUACrime e justiça2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualOther US citizen 37.8%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
44
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 35 minutos
5/07/24, 15:26 UTC1/01/29, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will anyone else mentioned in the Epstein files face RELATED criminal charges before the end of Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsCriminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?
PolymarketPeter Mandelson to face criminal charges in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAndrew Mountbatten-Windsor (formerly Prince Andrew) to face criminal charges in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump face criminal charges relating to his involvement with Epstein?
Manifold MarketsWill the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketRegras
The recent Supreme Court ruling (Trump v United States - wiki, pdf) is being criticized for allowing absolute and presumptive immunity for various acts involving core powers.
- One of the recurring hypotheticals is (paraphrased) "ordering Seal Team Six to assassinate a the named outcome".
- Will a US president order the assassination of any of the above people by 2029?
- Resolves YES to any assassinations that have been ordered by the president by the end of 2028 as they are ordered (assassinations that are publicly ordered but not carried out prior to 2028 still count).
- Resolves NO to any assassinations that happen, but are not claimed responsibility by the president and are attributed to independent, presidentially-unrelated assassins prior to the end of 2028.
- Resolves NO on December 31st of 2028 for any assassinations that have not yet been ordered.
