PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 70.3%-1.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
36 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
69,8 €
Liquidez
1 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
14.0% / 45.0%
Spread
31.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
3
Variação 7d
+9.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
17/02/26, 22:44 UTC7/11/28, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If Donald Trump is elected, will the US become bad enough for me as a trans woman that I have to emigrate to the UK?
Manifold MarketsWill someone under 70 be elected US president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?
Manifold MarketsWill a woman be elected US president in 2028?
PredictItWill a woman be elected US vice president in 2028?
PredictItWill Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRegras
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 697,7 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 471,3 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the next elected US president be a woman??
- A Polymarket cota No em 70% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the next elected US president be a woman? é resolvido?
- Will the next elected US president be a woman? deverá ser resolvido em 7 de novembro de 2028.
- Como Will the next elected US president be a woman? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.