Will a UN body launch treaty negotiations on autonomous weapons by December 31?
One-OffPolíticaEspaçoTecnologiaGeopolíticaOriente MédioEuropa2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 86.9%
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 41 minutos
26/08/26, 16:05 UTC31/12/26, 11:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolves YES if a United Nations body formally adopts a mandate to negotiate a legally binding instrument on autonomous weapon systems by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Nonbinding appeals, expert meetings, working groups without a negotiating mandate, and negotiations outside the UN do not count.
- Source: United Nations.
- The market closes twelve hours before the deadline.
- Related markets from today's news
