Will a scientific discovery extend human lifespan by more than 10 years within the next 20 years?
One-OffSaúde e medicinaCiência18aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 61.7%
Previsores
19
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado15/03/24, 00:30 UTC22/12/44, 02:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Update 2026-10-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified a potential path to resolution:
- The market may resolve to YES based on results from dog lifespan trials (such as TRIAD or Loyal's STAY study) if there is clear evidence that the same lifespan-extending results will apply to humans using the same drugs.
