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Sim 60.2%
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Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 53 minutos
Atrasado1/08/26, 16:22 UTC1/01/29, 02:59 UTC
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If a large language models beats a super grandmaster (Classic elo of above 2,700) while playing blind chess by 2028, this market resolves to YES.
- I will ignore fun games, at my discretion.
- (Say a game where Hiraku loses to ChatGPT because he played the Bongcloud)
- Some clarification (28th Mar 2023): This market grew fast with a unclear description.
- My idea is to check whether a general intelligence can play chess, without being created specifically for doing so (like humans aren't chess playing machines).
- Some previous comments I did.
