Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 57%
Previsores
23
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado1/12/24, 03:54 UTC31/12/28, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will a humanoid robot set foot on Mars before a biological human does?
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KalshiRegras
This market resolves YES if a humanoid robot physically makes contact with the lunar surface before the next human does, and NO otherwise.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from space agencies (NASA, CNSA, etc.) and verified mission data.
- Key context:
- China's Chang'e-8 mission plans to send a humanoid robot to the Moon's south pole in 2028
- NASA's Artemis 3, the first crewed Moon landing since Apollo 17, is targeted for September 2026
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a humanoid robot set foot on the Moon before the next biological human?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 57% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a humanoid robot set foot on the Moon before the next biological human é resolvido?
- Will a humanoid robot set foot on the Moon before the next biological human deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como Will a humanoid robot set foot on the Moon before the next biological human é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if a humanoid robot physically makes contact with the lunar surface before the next human does, and NO otherwise.