Who will win the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição1m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualMelissa Hurtado (incumbent) 93.8%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado2/07/25, 15:26 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district.
- The official results will be sourced from the California Secretary of State's website.
- California's 16th State Senate district encompasses parts of Fresno, Kern, Kings, and Tulare counties.
- The district has a history of competitive elections.
- In the 2022 election, incumbent Democrat Melissa Hurtado narrowly defeated Republican David Shepard by a margin of 22 votes.
