Who will win the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualAlexandra Duarte 65.8%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado18/06/25, 14:36 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district.
- The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
- (ballotpedia.org)
- California's 4th State Senate district encompasses parts of the northeastern Central Valley, the central Sierra Nevada, and Death Valley, including counties such as Stanislaus, Calaveras, Amador, El Dorado, Placer, Alpine, Tuolumne, Mariposa, Madera, Mono, and Inyo.
- The district is currently represented by Senator Marie Alvarado-Gil, a Democrat who assumed office on December 5, 2022.
