Who will launch the first crewed space station with functioning artificial gravity (via rotation)?

Russia / UkraineOne-OffTecnologia Space13a

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibrado

Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados

Dados de 21 de jul. de 2026, 18:30 UTC · política pm-quality-2

Previsão da comunidade atual

US Company and/or NASA 16.1%-1.8%

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Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 dias

Desatualizado

19/07/26, 17:1531/12/39, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

US Company and/or NASA16%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

This market resolves when the first crewed orbital space station or station module that generates artificial gravity through continuous rotation becomes operational, with a crew aboard experiencing sustained partial or full gravity produced by that rotation.

Eligible systems include rotating habitats, wheel stations, torus stations, or centrifuge modules large enough to support normal crew habitation for extended stays.
The rotation must be the primary means of generating gravity for at least part of the habitable volume.
The market resolves to the country or region of the organization primarily responsible for developing and operating the station or module.
If responsibility is genuinely shared between organizations from multiple listed options, the market resolves to "Other".
Does not count

Tendência de volume

$25

19 de jul.3d de dados21 de jul.

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Regras

Eligible systems include rotating habitats, wheel stations, torus stations, or centrifuge modules large enough to support normal crew habitation for extended stays.
The rotation must be the primary means of generating gravity for at least part of the habitable volume.
The market resolves to the country or region of the organization primarily responsible for developing and operating the station or module.
If responsibility is genuinely shared between organizations from multiple listed options, the market resolves to "Other".
Does not count