Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualGavin Newsom 71.6%Líder entre 19 opções
Previsores
19
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado12/12/25, 22:34 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for any candidate who finishes in the top 2 (first or second place) in any single state's Democratic primary election.(by popular vote, not delegates) The 2028 presidential election is scheduled for November 7, 2028, with primaries occurring in the months prior.
- Resolution will be determined by official state primary results published by state election authorities and major news outlets covering the 2028 Democratic primary.
- Note: Democrats have no clear presidential primary calendar for 2028, so the specific states and timing remain to be determined by the DNC.
- Must be a STATE!
- Democrats Abroad,American Samoa, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, US Virgin Islands,