Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Republican primary for president?
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Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualJ D Vance 53.8%Líder entre 14 opções
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Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado12/12/25, 22:30 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Resolves Yes to whoever finishes 1st or 2nd in a Republican primary for a STATE.
- Non states like DC, Guam and the US Virgin Islands don’t count as states.
- This is based on who receives the most votes in the state, delegates don’t count.
- Must get over 5% to count.
- If someone wins 98% and a write candidate gets 0.4% in 2nd, doesn’t count.
- A write in candidate getting 2nd with 5.1% would be enough for resolving yes.
