Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualJoe Biden 80.7%
Previsores
111
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado9/12/23, 19:19 UTC1/01/40, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
Death as officially announced by a spokesperson for the person and/or by a doctor or health official
Mercados abertos
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
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- Volume total
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KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
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- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
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- € 1,2 mi
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volume total
- € 29,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 407,5 mil
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
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- Volume total
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POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will die first? Trump or Biden??
- A Manifold Markets cota Joe Biden em 81% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will die first? Trump or Biden? é resolvido?
- Who will die first? Trump or Biden? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2040.
- Como Who will die first? Trump or Biden? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Death as officially announced by a spokesperson for the person and/or by a doctor or health official