Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualOther 60.8%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
33
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+2.7 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado2/09/25, 22:37 UTC5/11/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag]
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected president in the 2028 US election?
Manifold MarketsWill Ron DeSantis be elected President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurRegras
Do we really need another market for this topic? Maybe! Multiple choice questions with lots of answers are awkward; this one will aim to have few answers rather than being all-inclusive.
- These seem to be the major other markets for this question:
- @/Tetraspace/who-will-be-elected-president-in-20
- @/goldenes56/who-will-be-elected-president-in-th-6ecda2cc8128@/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj
- @/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a
- If any option (including other) is trading in the top 3, or >20%, in either of those markets for at least 48 hours, I'll add it to this one (please feel encouraged to point out if this is happening!).
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 81%
- Também disponível em Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 27%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 18%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 18%
- Também disponível em Smarkets — 2028 Presidential Election Winner · JD Vance 18%
- — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
