Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualOther 57.2%+0.3ptLíder entre 4 opções
Previsores
32
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+0.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 25 minutos
2/09/25, 22:375/11/28, 23:59
Tendências
Regras
Do we really need another market for this topic? Maybe! Multiple choice questions with lots of answers are awkward; this one will aim to have few answers rather than being all-inclusive.
- These seem to be the major other markets for this question:
- @/Tetraspace/who-will-be-elected-president-in-20
- @/goldenes56/who-will-be-elected-president-in-th-6ecda2cc8128@/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj
- @/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a
- If any option (including other) is trading in the top 3, or >20%, in either of those markets for at least 48 hours, I'll add it to this one (please feel encouraged to point out if this is happening!).
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election? · JD Vance 19%
- Também disponível em Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 20%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 23%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 20%
- Também disponível em Smarkets — 2028 Presidential Election Winner · JD Vance 18%
- Também disponível em Futuur — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028 · Gavin Newsom 28%
- Também disponível em PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? · JD Vance 22%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? · J.D. Vance 19%
Mercados abertos
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18.8%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.9%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 165,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2 mi
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-1.0pt58.7%
- Ralph Norman33%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 14 mi
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 9,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 947,7 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt76%
- October 31+7.5pt60%
- September 30+5.0pt41%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva61.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt34.3%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt2.9%
+15 mais resultados
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.9%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.1%
- Volume total
- € 21,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 468,3 mil
- Next French Presidential Election
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Ohio Governor winner?
- Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)?
- A Manifold Markets cota Other em 57% em 25 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) é resolvido?
- Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) deverá ser resolvido em 5 de novembro de 2028.
- Como Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Do we really need another market for this topic? Maybe! Multiple choice questions with lots of answers are awkward; this one will aim to have few answers rather than being all-inclusive.
- Onde mais Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur, PredictIt, Kalshi.