Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualOther 50.8%+0.1ptLíder entre 3 opções
Previsores
42
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-1.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
3/11/25, 17:50 UTC11/11/28, 01:00 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
Who will be the Republican Party's official nominee for the 2028 presidential election?
- Context: Vice President the named outcome and President the named outcome are the two leading potential Republican candidates for 2028.
- Vance currently leads in primary polling, but Trump has not ruled out running despite constitutional term limits.
- Resolution: This market resolves to whichever candidate is officially nominated by the Republican Party at the 2028 Republican National Convention or through the formal RNC nomination process.
- If neither Vance nor Trump is nominated, the market resolves to "Other."
- Sources for verification:
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who going to be the Republican 2028 candidate??
- A Manifold Markets cota Other em 51% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who going to be the Republican 2028 candidate? é resolvido?
- Who going to be the Republican 2028 candidate? deverá ser resolvido em 11 de novembro de 2028.
- Como Who going to be the Republican 2028 candidate? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Who will be the Republican Party's official nominee for the 2028 presidential election?