Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualRo Khanna 81.7%Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-8.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado9/06/26, 07:25 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution criteria
- This market is an independent multiple-choice market.
- Each option representing an individual candidate will resolve independently to YES or NO based on whether that individual officially runs for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle.
- YES Resolution: An individual will resolve to YES if they publicly announce their candidacy for President of the United States for the 2028 election, or if they formally file a Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
- NO Resolution: If an individual does not officially declare candidacy or file a Form 2, they will resolve to NO.
- Exploratory Committees: Simply launching a presidential exploratory committee does not qualify as running unless followed by an official declaration of candidacy or an FEC Form 2 filing.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which 2026 NEWSMAKER will run for president in 2028?
- A Manifold Markets cota Ro Khanna em 81.7% em 22 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which 2026 NEWSMAKER will run for president in 2028 é resolvido?
- Which 2026 NEWSMAKER will run for president in 2028 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como Which 2026 NEWSMAKER will run for president in 2028 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria