Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms?
15.8 pts (24h)US Politics1mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualTucker Carlson 96.9%+15.8ptLíder entre 21 opções
Previsores
107
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+15.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
10/11/24, 07:17 UTC4/11/26, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?
Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketFed Decision in October?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRegras
Simple disagreement is not enough to resolve YES - it has to be big enough of a split that one could call them a "trump critic." If I see any of them identified as "trump critic," or otherwise splitting from team Trump in a significant way, that'd be enough to resolve YES.
- Getting fired and then going on CNN to dish out some juicy dirt would also be enough, for example.
- Basically - who's gonna burn some friendships?
- Please do not submit anyone who can already be characterized as a "trump critic," or who has already split from Trump's team due to criticism.
- This market's resolution is subjective, so I will not bet on this market.
- In the case that I am unable to resolve this market, I leave it in the hands of any moderator without any shares on this market.
Mercados abertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase-6.0pt49.5%
- No change+5.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 755,3 mil
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 586,9 mil
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+3.0pt100%
- September 25+10.5pt95%
- September 30+7.5pt85%
+3 mais resultados
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.9pt91%
- Republican Party-0.6pt9%
- Volume total
- € 29,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 427,4 mil
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt60.4%
- D-House, R-Senate29.7%
- Republicans sweep-0.3pt8.9%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- September 30+3.4pt100%
- October 31+2.8pt100%
- December 31+2.0pt100%
+3 mais resultados
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms??
- A Manifold Markets cota Tucker Carlson em 97% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms? é resolvido?
- Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms? deverá ser resolvido em 4 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Simple disagreement is not enough to resolve YES - it has to be big enough of a split that one could call them a "trump critic." If I see any of them identified as "trump critic," or otherwise splitting from team Trump in a significant way, that'd be enough to resolve YES.