Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 01:57 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atual
Before 01/01/2029 45%Líder entre 4 opções
Before 01/01/2029 45%Previsores
35
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado7/07/24, 06:05 UTC10/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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PolymarketRegras
This resolves YES for all options which are true of the polling day for the first UK General Election following 4th July 2024.
- Otherwise options resolve NO three weeks before their named date, at which point it is too late under current UK law to call an election.