Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Before 01/01/2029 39.7%+9.9ptLíder entre 4 opções
Previsores
30
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+9.9 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
7/07/24, 06:05 UTC10/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
When will the next UK general election take place?
Manifold MarketsWhat year will the next Ukrainan presidential election take place?
Manifold MarketsWill the next British Genaral election take place before the regular deadline in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRegras
This resolves YES for all options which are true of the polling day for the first UK General Election following 4th July 2024.
- Otherwise options resolve NO three weeks before their named date, at which point it is too late under current UK law to call an election.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 697,7 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 471,3 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will the next UK General Election take place??
- A Manifold Markets cota Before 01/01/2029 em 40% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will the next UK General Election take place? é resolvido?
- When will the next UK General Election take place? deverá ser resolvido em 10 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como When will the next UK General Election take place? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This resolves YES for all options which are true of the polling day for the first UK General Election following 4th July 2024.