Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 09:52 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 96.2%
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado ontem
Desatualizado1/03/26, 20:58 UTC15/08/29, 22:00 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- The next UK general election is scheduled no later than 15 August 2029, as Parliament first met on 9 July 2024 and will automatically dissolve five years later unless dissolved earlier.
- This market resolves YES if a general election takes place before 15 August 2029, and NO if the election is held on or after that date.
- Resolution will be determined by the official announcement of polling day by the UK Electoral Commission at https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/.
- Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022, the Prime Minister has the power to request the monarch call an election at any time during the five-year length of a parliamentary session, or Parliament automatically dissolves five years after it first met with an election held 25 working days after dissolution.
- The 2024 general election resulted in a landslide victory for the Labour Party led by Keir Starmer.
