Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBefore 2030 61.1%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
33
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-9.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado30/03/24, 14:21 UTC1/01/30, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship fly intercontinental by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship reach space in 2023? x Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
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Manifold MarketsBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegras
The market will resolve positively as soon a live human either successfully launches on a SpaceX Starship to space, or enters a Starship while in space (anywhere more than 100 km from Earth surface).
- It will still count if the Starship fails in some way, as long as it happens after it has reached space.
- I do not bet on my own questions.
- Similar question about launch and landing:
- @/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-launch-or
- My other questions about Starship milestones:
