Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBefore Electron is officially retired 7.6%Líder entre 11 opções
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado10/04/24, 14:16 UTC1/01/27, 12:59 UTC
Tendências
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Regras
Resolves YES if an Electron rocket launches with a booster that Rocket Lab states has flown before (regardless of amount of refurbishment required)
- Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad under its own thrust
- The launch is not required to be successful
- Answers resolve NO as the dates are reached, and all remaining answers resolve YES once a launch that meets the criteria occurs; more answers may be added based on trading
- UTC is used for dates
- Please ask if you want anything clarified
Mercados abertos
Space
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- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
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- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
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- € 57,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 57,4 mil
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- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
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KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
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KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
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- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- € 817,9 mil
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
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- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
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- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will rocket lab first attempt to re-fly an Electron booster? #Recovery-and-reuse?
- A Manifold Markets cota Before Electron is officially retired em 8% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will rocket lab first attempt to re-fly an Electron booster? #Recovery-and-reuse é resolvido?
- When will rocket lab first attempt to re-fly an Electron booster? #Recovery-and-reuse deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como When will rocket lab first attempt to re-fly an Electron booster? #Recovery-and-reuse é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if an Electron rocket launches with a booster that Rocket Lab states has flown before (regardless of amount of refurbishment required)