Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualbefore Sep 30, 2027 77.2%Líder entre 13 opções
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado15/12/25, 19:28 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
When will Gavin Newsom announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election?
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ForecastExRegras
Resolution criteria
- For each answer, resolve YES if Josh Shapiro makes an official public announcement that he is running for U.S. president in the 2028 election on or before that answer’s cutoff; resolve NO otherwise. “before [date]” is treated as on or before 11:59:59 pm Eastern Time on that date.
- e.g. if the announcement occurs on Dec 15, 2027, the "the named outcome" AND "the named outcome" options resolve YES.
- Acceptable evidence (use the earliest timestamp across sources):
- FEC Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) filed for a 2028 presidential run.
- An explicit statement by Shapiro or an authorized spokesperson that he is running for president in 2028 (e.g., on his verified social accounts or official site).
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will Josh Shapiro announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election??
- A Manifold Markets cota before Sep 30, 2027 em 77% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will Josh Shapiro announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election? é resolvido?
- When will Josh Shapiro announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como When will Josh Shapiro announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria