Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNever announces a 2028 presidential run. 65%Líder entre 11 opções
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado24/12/25, 11:57 UTC31/12/28, 11:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be elected U.S. president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (aka AOC) be charged with a federal crime by February 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill AOC Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ever become the Democratic nominee for president?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
KalshiWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurRegras
Resolution criteria
- For each answer, resolve YES if AOC makes an official public announcement that she is running for U.S. president in the 2028 election on or before that answer’s cutoff; resolve NO otherwise. “before [date]” is treated as on or before 11:59:59 pm Eastern Time on that date.
- e.g. if the announcement occurs on Dec 15, 2027, the "the named outcome" AND "the named outcome" options resolve YES.
- Acceptable evidence (use the earliest timestamp across sources):
- FEC Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) filed for a 2028 presidential run.
- An explicit statement by AOC or an authorized spokesperson that she is running for president in 2028 (e.g., on his verified social accounts or official site).
Mercados abertos
Politics
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- Gavin Newsom14%
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce her run for presidency for the 2028 election??
- A Manifold Markets cota Never announces a 2028 presidential run. em 65% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce her run for presidency for the 2028 election? é resolvido?
- When will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce her run for presidency for the 2028 election? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como When will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce her run for presidency for the 2028 election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria