KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 58%
Qualidade do mercado
56 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
0,9 €
Liquidez
7,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
42.0% / 46.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
18/03/25, 14:00 UTC1/04/28, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
When will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce her run for presidency for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be elected U.S. president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the New York 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExRegras
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez runs for Senate in 2028 before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Note: FEC filings alone do not resolve this market to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 697,7 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 471,3 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028??
- A Kalshi cota No em 58% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? é resolvido?
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de abril de 2028.
- Como Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez runs for Senate in 2028 before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.