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Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 23:58 UTC · política pm-quality-4
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Before Jan 1, 2029 50%Líder entre 4 opções
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8
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variação 7d
0.0 pts
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Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado25/04/26, 16:40 UTC1/01/30, 17:39 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
When will any publicly available consumer AI assistant (ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, etc) be able to look up a public domain book of reasonable length (~100k words) and read it (all of it) aloud to me in one shot.
- A few clarifications:
- Multiple options can resolve yes
- This applies to assistants where you don’t self-host models on your own GPUs
- It should be able to do this after a single request from the user, without requiring repeated prompts (feel free to prompt engineer that starting prompt as much as you'd like).
- In other words, the audio it plays should be like what would happen if you pressed play at the start of an audiobook
