Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will Apple release a Vision base model??

A Manifold Markets cota 2026 em 45.2% em 28 de outubro de 2026.

Quando When will Apple release a Vision base model? é resolvido?

When will Apple release a Vision base model? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2031.

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

2026 45.2%

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Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Variação 7d

0.0 pts

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 18 horas

Desatualizado

12/02/24, 20:20 UTC2/01/31, 04:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

Resolves to the year when Apple releases (makes available for purchase to the public) the Apple Vision headset alongside the Apple Vision Pro.

The criteria for resolution are Apple having two virtual reality headsets which use VisionOS available for purchase simultaneously, which are differentiated from each other in at least both product name and retail price.
Therefore, changes in name do not affect the market.
If the criteria are not met by 2031, the market resolves to never if there is no announcement or sources which suggest any chance it will occur by 2033.