When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower?
TecnologiaOne-OffSpace8aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual2035 or earlier 84.3%Líder entre 7 opções
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Desatualizado7/03/24, 00:46 UTC1/01/35, 12:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Resolves YES once an individual Starship Super Heavy booster launches as part of a full stack launch, lands/is caught, and then launches again from the same launch tower/pad it landed at - without being removed from that tower in between the landing and relaunch
- Answers resolve NO once date is passed (or may resolve NO early if sufficiently certain)
- The booster can be picked up by the chopsticks (or equivalent), but if it is placed down on anything other than the launch mount (or equivalent) it is counted as having been removed
- Work done on the vehicle while it's on the launch mount (or equivalent) does not invalidate it
- The launches themselves don't need to be successful
- Starship Super Heavy booster does not need to be its exact name but it must be the first stage of a vehicle referred to in some sense as Starship and must have extensive shared heritage with the current SpaceX vehicle
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower??
- A Manifold Markets cota 2035 or earlier em 84% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower? é resolvido?
- When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2035.
- Como When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES once an individual Starship Super Heavy booster launches as part of a full stack launch, lands/is caught, and then launches again from the same launch tower/pad it landed at - without being removed from that tower in between the landing and relaunch