What will the dominant microblogging platform be at the end of 2028 (X, Threads, Bluesky, etc) ? [ READ DESCRIPTION ]
One-OffTecnologia2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 22 de out. de 2026, 09:05 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualX / Twitter 35.5%Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores
23
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado10/08/23, 03:49 UTC2/06/29, 03:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Dominance is defined by my best judgement of MAU's , or the best available metric.
- Note that the market will resolve to an ESTIMATED MARKET SHARE.
- In other words, it is NOT winner-take-all.
- Ie if X has 55% dominance, I want X to resolve to 55%.
- Friends have told me this is possible.
- If I find it is NOT possible to partially resolve a free response market, I will resolve it N/A.