What will John Fetterman’s official party affiliation and caucus situation be on 1 July 2027?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUA8m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualDemocrat 71%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+16.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado23/10/26, 08:37 UTC1/07/27, 00:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the single option that accurately reflects John Fetterman's official party registration/affiliation and formal caucus membership in the United States Senate as of 11:59 PM ET on July 1, 2027.
- Democrat: Resolves to YES if Fetterman is officially registered as a Democrat and formally caucuses with the Senate Democratic Caucus.
- the named outcome: Resolves to YES if Fetterman is registered as an Independent, unaffiliated, or with a third party, and formally organizes/caucuses with the Senate Democratic Caucus.
- the named outcome: Resolves to YES if Fetterman is registered as an Independent, unaffiliated, or with a third party, and formally organizes/caucuses with the Senate Republican Conference.
- Republican: Resolves to YES if Fetterman is officially registered as a Republican and formally caucuses with the Senate Republican Conference.