Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualShooter captured alive before Oct. 1st 100%Líder entre 62 opções
Previsores
252
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
11/09/25, 19:17 UTC11/09/26, 19:13 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Another politically motivated* assassination of a notable* English-speaking influencer within a year of Charlie Kirk's?
Manifold MarketsWhich method(s) will the police use to find Charlie Kirk's shooter?
Manifold MarketsWhat is true about Erika Kirk (Charlie Kirk’s widow) after the funeral ceremony.
Manifold MarketsWill Israel election happen as scheduled?
PolymarketWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PolymarketWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
KalshiRegras
Feel free to add your own, but egregiously irrelevant answers will be N/Aed.
- Try to keep it to things that can be connected to this event! I'll avoid betting in this market on anything where there could be ambiguity.
- Update 2025-09-11 (PST) (Creator summary of creator comment): - For the answer "Another political assassination (either side)": There must be some proven link - inspiration, direct influence, etc - between the Kirk assassination and anything that would give this a YES resolution.
- Update 2025-09-16 (PST) (Creator summary of creator comment): - For the answer "Any left-wing group is legally designated as a 'terrorist organization'": A state or local designation doesn't count for this - it has to be federal (even if it's unconstitutional or otherwise goes through the improper channels, such as an executive order).
Mercados abertos
ChainlinkKALSHIWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
- Chainlink (LINK)-2.0pt42%
- Ethereum (ETH)-4.0pt37%
- Bitcoin (BTC)-3.0pt34%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 594,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 2,5 mil
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
- ↑ 14+8.4pt100%
- ↓ 12+22.4pt100%
- ↓ 10+32.5pt100%
+12 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
- ↑ 12+48.0pt100%
- ↓ 12+50.0pt100%
- ↓ 10+0.5pt52%
+9 mais resultados
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?
- Less than $10M or bankrupt64.7%
- $10M - $100M12.6%
- $100M - $1B12.6%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 43
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Volume total
- € 271,1
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)?
- $10M - $100M45.4%
- Less than $10M or bankrupt44.5%
- $100M - $1B6.8%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 101,2
- Volume 24h
- Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?
- In what year will humans have more sex with robots than with other humans
- Will Link speak in the Zelda movie?
- Who DOSsed Finnish Defence Ministry web pages? (suggest answers, may take time to resolve)
- Days without sunspots in 2026.
- 🌐Which social platforms will reach 500M or more users by the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]
- Who is the unidentified person on the cover of Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band?
- Messi vs Ronaldo: who's gonna have more career goals? 🥅
- Manifold Meta-Futarchy 2026
- When will consumer AI be able to read me a book
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination??
- A Manifold Markets cota Shooter captured alive before Oct. 1st em 100% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination? é resolvido?
- What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination? deverá ser resolvido em 11 de setembro de 2026.
- Como What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Feel free to add your own, but egregiously irrelevant answers will be N/Aed.