Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 10 de jul. de 2026, 02:26 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Previsão da comunidade atualStatue of Charlie Kirk erected in the capitol 21.7%Líder entre 63 opções
Previsores
246
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 dias
Desatualizado11/09/25, 19:1711/09/26, 19:13
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Statue of Charlie Kirk erected in the capitol22%
Tendência de volume
$128 de jul.3d de dados10 de jul.
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Feel free to add your own, but egregiously irrelevant answers will be N/Aed.
- Try to keep it to things that can be connected to this event! I'll avoid betting in this market on anything where there could be ambiguity.
- Update 2025-09-11 (PST) (Creator summary of creator comment): - For the answer "Another political assassination (either side)": There must be some proven link - inspiration, direct influence, etc - between the Kirk assassination and anything that would give this a YES resolution.
- Update 2025-09-16 (PST) (Creator summary of creator comment): - For the answer "Any left-wing group is legally designated as a 'terrorist organization'": A state or local designation doesn't count for this - it has to be federal (even if it's unconstitutional or otherwise goes through the improper channels, such as an executive order).