Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?
ChainlinkOne-OffIATecnologia1a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers (2022 value: 2.0m) 18.9%Líder entre 18 opções
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13
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado19/12/23, 21:33 UTC18/07/28, 05:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Which of these jobs will be the first to decline to less than 50% the number of workers it had in May, 2022?
- So, every year we check the result (looks like the reports are annual, in May) and look at the decrease levels.
- If there is a decrease such that the level at that point is <50% the starting, 2022, value, then that one wins.
- If in one year TWO or more jobs decrease to <50%, then whichever one decreased more relative to the original will be deemed the "most decreasing" job.
- Also, every year I will update the name of each to display how much it's gone down, and maybe what percentage that is.
- I will adjust the deadline as time goes by, until we get a hit.