What major event will precipitate the next run on toilet paper in the United States?
Trade PolicyOne-OffHealth & Medicine11mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 18 de jul. de 2026, 00:20 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Previsão da comunidade atualA new global pandemic 5.7%Líder entre 22 opções
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 dias
Desatualizado17/07/25, 0:1417/07/27, 0:13
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
A new global pandemic6%
Tendência de volume
$917 de jul.2d de dados18 de jul.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first major event that leads to a significant run on toilet paper in the United States.
- A "run" is defined as a nationwide shortage reported by major news outlets, characterized by widespread consumer stockpiling and empty shelves across multiple states.
- The event must be identified as the primary cause of the shortage.
- If multiple events occur simultaneously, the market will resolve to the event most widely recognized as the catalyst.
- Reliable sources such as the Associated Press, Reuters, or major national newspapers will be used to determine the outcome.