What are the probabilities of these AI outcomes (X-risk, dystopias, utopias, in-between outcomes, status quo outcomes)?
IA
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
A. Death by paperclips, eternal torment of all humans by AI, or similar unalignment catastrophe. 38.6%Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
63
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado25/03/23, 10:00 UTC1/01/01, 04:59 UTC
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Buy/sell these outcomes to the probabilities you consider appropriate.
- Mar 25, 6:05am: What are the probabilities of these AI outcomes? → What are the probabilities of these AI outcomes (X-risk, dystopias, utopias, in-between outcomes, status quo outcomes)?