Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026
TecnologiaOne-OffCommoditiesNegócios e empresas2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 81.1%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 59 minutos
Atrasado12/01/26, 17:41 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will China restrict exports of silicon metal on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWagerup gallium T12M production exceeds 10 tonnes as of Q2 2027
Manifold MarketsWagerup 2026 alumina production exceeds 2.5 Mt (2,500 kt)
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of gallium on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Saudi Aramco still be in the top 10 biggest public companies by market cap in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill animal free dairy products have >5% market share by 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if the Wagerup gallium plant begins operations by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from Alcoa Corporation or the joint venture partners (JAGA, US government, Australian government) confirming that the facility has produced its first gallium metal.
- The plant is expected to produce 100 metric tons of gallium annually once operational.
- Alcoa Corporation is developing a gallium plant at its Wagerup alumina refinery in Western Australia, with support from the US and Australian governments and a joint venture between the Japanese Government and Sojitz Corporation.
- Gallium is naturally present in bauxite, the raw material used in alumina production, and can be extracted during the refining process.
