Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 70.1%
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado12/01/26, 19:20 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Alcoa Australia 2026 alumina production exceeds 6.0 Mt (6,000 kt)
Manifold MarketsAlcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt)
Manifold MarketsAlcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)
Manifold MarketsWagerup gallium T12M production exceeds 10 tonnes as of Q2 2027
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Wagerup's alumina production in 2026 exceeds 2.5 million tonnes (2,500 kt).
- Resolution will be determined by Alcoa's official 2026 annual production figures, which should be disclosed in quarterly earnings reports or annual sustainability reports available on Alcoa's investor relations website (https://news.alcoa.com).
- Wagerup Refinery has a capacity of 2.9 million tonnes per year and is the second largest producer of alumina in the AWAC global joint venture between Alumina Limited and Alcoa.
- In Q3 2025, alumina production increased 4 percent sequentially to 2.5 million metric tons, primarily due to higher output from Australian refineries with lower maintenance in the quarter.
- An efficiency project aims to enable the two existing refinery production units to achieve approximately 3.3 million tonnes per annum, up from the current licensed capacity of 2.85 Mtpa.
Mercados abertos
Commodities
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 414,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 265,7 mil
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 mais resultados
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 126,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 126,9 mil
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86591%
+67 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 113,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 113,1 mil
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 112,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 110,5 mil
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 113,6 mil
- Volume 24h
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- Texas gas prices tomorrow
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Wagerup 2026 alumina production exceeds 2.5 Mt (2,500 kt)?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 70% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Wagerup 2026 alumina production exceeds 2.5 Mt (2,500 kt) é resolvido?
- Wagerup 2026 alumina production exceeds 2.5 Mt (2,500 kt) deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Wagerup 2026 alumina production exceeds 2.5 Mt (2,500 kt) é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria