Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 53%
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado13/05/25, 16:48 UTC2/01/27, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
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PolymarketRegras
https://ourworldindata.org/military-spending
- 2010 was the year with the highest total US military spending so far.
- This market resolves to yes if Our World in Data (or a suitable replacement if it stops being a reliable source) shows the military spending of 2025 or 2026 to be above the 2010 total, adjusted for inflation.
- If they're all lower (or the US is no longer a country at that point), this resolves to no.
- If that data becomes completely unavailable, this resolves to N/A.
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 89,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 541,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 30,7 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 334,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,8 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 77,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 5,5 mil
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de US military expenditure tops all-time high by 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 53% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando US military expenditure tops all-time high by 2026? é resolvido?
- US military expenditure tops all-time high by 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como US military expenditure tops all-time high by 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: https://ourworldindata.org/military-spending