US defaults on debt held by China before 2027?
One-OffMacro & EconomyBonds & TreasuriesChinaGeopolítica3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 97.5%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado7/04/25, 21:42 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Regras
The market will resolve YES if the United States government intentionally fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on Treasury securities held by Chinese entities (including the Chinese government, Chinese banks, or other Chinese state-owned enterprises) by their due date at any time before 2027.
- The default must involve at least $100 million USD in missed payments.
- If the US restructures, delays, or partially reduces payments specifically on Chinese-held debt while maintaining payments to other creditors, this will be considered a selective default and resolve as YES.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de US defaults on debt held by China before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 98% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando US defaults on debt held by China before 2027? é resolvido?
- US defaults on debt held by China before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como US defaults on debt held by China before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The market will resolve YES if the United States government intentionally fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on Treasury securities held by Chinese entities (including the Chinese government, Chinese banks, or other Chinese state-owned enterprises) by their due date at any time before 2027.