US and China publicly announce a bilateral AI arrangement before 2027?
Política dos EUAIAOne-OffChina2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 24 de out. de 2026, 13:11 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 74%
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10
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Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado18/05/26, 17:48 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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This description was generated by AI.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the United States government and the government of the People's Republic of China issue a joint, public statement or sign a formal agreement establishing a bilateral arrangement, framework, or pact specifically concerning artificial intelligence safety, governance, or cooperation before January 1, 2027.
- The arrangement must be explicitly identified as being between the US and China.
- Unilateral policies, separate statements made at the same event, or agreements made only through multilateral organizations (such as the UN or G20) without a distinct bilateral component do not qualify.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from the White House (whitehouse.gov) or the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China (fmprc.gov.cn).
