Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsCrime & Justice2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 79%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado6/06/25, 15:04 UTC6/12/28, 15:00 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, within six months of Donald Trump's approval rating falling below 35%, he is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives, convicted by the U.S. Senate, and removed from office.
- The approval rating must be determined by a reputable polling organization, such as Gallup or Reuters/Ipsos.
- The six-month period begins on the date when the first poll reports an approval rating below 35%.
- If these conditions are not met within that timeframe, the market will resolve to "No".
- Impeachment is a two-step process in the United States.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 79% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%? é resolvido?
- Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%? deverá ser resolvido em 6 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria