Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 76.8%
Previsores
36
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado25/03/26, 20:04 UTC25/03/27, 19:48 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Trump is impeached by the House of Representatives before the Iran war ends.
- The Iran war is defined as the conflict that began on February 28, 2026, when the United States and Israel launched surprise airstrikes on multiple sites across Iran.
- The war ends when a ceasefire agreement is formally signed and takes effect, or when major combat operations cease for 14 days
- Resolution will be determined by:
- Impeachment: Official House vote to impeach Trump on any charges