Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 80%
Previsores
35
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado25/03/26, 20:04 UTC25/03/27, 19:48 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump be impeached?
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Manifold MarketsWill the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill President Trump be impeached during his term?
KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Trump is impeached by the House of Representatives before the Iran war ends.
- The Iran war is defined as the conflict that began on February 28, 2026, when the United States and Israel launched surprise airstrikes on multiple sites across Iran.
- The war ends when a ceasefire agreement is formally signed and takes effect, or when major combat operations cease for 14 days
- Resolution will be determined by:
- Impeachment: Official House vote to impeach Trump on any charges
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Trump impeached before Iran war's end??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 80% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Trump impeached before Iran war's end? é resolvido?
- Trump impeached before Iran war's end? deverá ser resolvido em 25 de março de 2027.
- Como Trump impeached before Iran war's end? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria