Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 96.6%
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado8/01/26, 21:30 UTC30/12/26, 20:29 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Susan Collins win re-election to Maine's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsExcluding Susan Collins, will any Republican senate candidate get a higher percent of the vote than trump did in 2024?
Manifold MarketsWill Susan Collins Outperform Maine's Republican Baseline in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Graham Platner and Susan Collins debate?
KalshiWho will endorse Susan Collins?
KalshiWill Susan Collins win the Maine general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRegras
Susan Collins received about 98% last time, and 100% before that.
- She appears to be the republicans only hope of retaining the seat.
- However trump has truth socialled today that she should not be elected ever again.
- Will the very high performance in gop primaries continue?
- Resolves No if she doesn’t run for reelection, or gets below the required amount.
- Resolves yes if she receives 95.00000%+ or more of the vote.
Mercados abertos
Politics
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
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- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Susan Collins 95.00%+ in GOP primary for Maine Senate Seat 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 97% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Susan Collins 95.00%+ in GOP primary for Maine Senate Seat 2026? é resolvido?
- Susan Collins 95.00%+ in GOP primary for Maine Senate Seat 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Susan Collins 95.00%+ in GOP primary for Maine Senate Seat 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Susan Collins received about 98% last time, and 100% before that.