Excluding Susan Collins, will any Republican senate candidate get a higher percent of the vote than trump did in 2024?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 71%
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado7/09/26, 03:51 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Trump got 49.73% in Michigan in 2024.
- Mike rogers would need to get 49.74% or more to resolve yes.
- Trump got 64.20% in Arkansas in 2024.
- Will Tom cotton get 64.21% in 2026?
- Resolves yes if any Republican candidate in any 2026 us senate election does better than trump did in their state in 2024.
- In Georgia, resolves based on the first round, unless it goes to a runoff, in which it would resolve based on the runoff.
