Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual≤ 1200 logical qubits and ≤ 70 million Toffoli gates 50%Líder entre 3 opções
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Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado2/04/26, 01:40 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
A new paper from Google demonstrates that there are procedures that break 256-bit ECDLP over secp256k1 with, optionally:
- ≤ 1200 logical qubits and ≤ 90 million Toffoli gates
- ≤ 1450 logical qubits and ≤ 70 million Toffoli gates
- This question asks if improvements will be made to this frontier by EoY 2028.