Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual≥$0.6T 100%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado22/04/26, 03:49 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
100%
100%
100%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Anthropic highest valuation by end of December 2026
Manifold MarketsSpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026
Manifold MarketsOpenAI highest valuation by end of September 2026
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegras
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for OpenAI credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-12-31.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-12-31 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 12,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 182,3 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,4 mi
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 mais resultados
- Conference to Win the National Championship
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- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
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- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de OpenAI highest valuation by end of December 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota ≥$0.6T em 100% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando OpenAI highest valuation by end of December 2026 é resolvido?
- OpenAI highest valuation by end of December 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como OpenAI highest valuation by end of December 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for OpenAI credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-12-31.