Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual≥$1T 88.7%Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado21/05/26, 19:10 UTC1/04/27, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Anthropic highest valuation by end of March 2027
Manifold MarketsSpaceX highest valuation by end of March 2027
Manifold MarketsOpenAI highest valuation by end of December 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Perplexity's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketRegras
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for OpenAI credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-03-31.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2027-03-31 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-3.0pt80.2%
- Yes+3.0pt19.8%
- Volume total
- € 13 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 419,3 mil
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt43%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-3.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-3.0pt31%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,4 mi
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Jan 1, 202792%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 16,5 mil
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt65%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 202750%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 894,3 mil
KALSHIWho will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Paramount+1.0pt77.1%
- None before July 2027+2.0pt20%
- Netflix2.9%
- Volume total
- € 3,7 mi
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de OpenAI highest valuation by end of March 2027?
- A Manifold Markets cota ≥$1T em 89% em 11 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando OpenAI highest valuation by end of March 2027 é resolvido?
- OpenAI highest valuation by end of March 2027 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de abril de 2027.
- Como OpenAI highest valuation by end of March 2027 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for OpenAI credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-03-31.